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Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (173.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.45 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.37 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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