Gardner Minshew TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

TD Passes

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
In this week's game, Gardner Minshew is expected by the model to have the 10th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.7.
The Indianapolis O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.5% red zone pass rate.

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