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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

Gardner Minshew TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Gardner Minshew to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.

Gardner Minshew's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.4% to 61.4%.

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