Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Gardner Minshew is expected by our trusted projection set to earn the 7th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.3.
Comprising a measly 5.6% of his team's carries this year (21st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Gardner Minshew's lack of speed makes him no threat on the ground.
Gardner Minshew profiles as one of the weakest quarterbacks in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 1.00 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

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