Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
This year, the formidable Bengals run defense has given up a mere 4.78 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 28th-best rate in the NFL.
The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Gardner Minshew has averaged a mere 1.5 carries per game this year, one of the lowest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (19th percentile).
Gardner Minshew is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 5.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 24th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Gardner Minshew has grinded out just 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (22nd percentile).

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