Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to run on 44.8% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast Gardner Minshew to accumulate 2.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Gardner Minshew is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 5.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 20th percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a dreadful total of 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (19th percentile), Gardner Minshew stands as one of the weakest rushing QBs in football this year.
Gardner Minshew grades out as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 1.20 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
This year, the porous Titans run defense has been gouged for a whopping 3.96 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 27th-highest rate in the NFL.

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