Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Gardner Minshew to accrue 5.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
Gardner Minshew has grinded out a measly 1.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in football among quarterbacks (5th percentile).
Gardner Minshew's rushing efficiency (1.92 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (16th percentile among quarterbacks).
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends project as the 4th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.