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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 10th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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