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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Gardner Minshew Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 196.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 202.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 196.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Raiders are a heavy favorite in this week's game, implying much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 36.1 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 63.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.

Gardner Minshew profiles as one of the worst per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging just 6.63 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 25th percentile.

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a feeble 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a meager 7.2 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's unit has been great this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

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