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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Gardner Minshew to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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