Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 17

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Gardner Minshew to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.