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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are giant -8-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In averaging a monstrous 1.05 interceptions per game this year, Gardner Minshew slots in among the worst quarterbacks in the NFL (20th percentile).
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 10th-most out of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

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