Gardner Minshew Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Completions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.3.
The Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
This year, the fierce Steelers defense has yielded a measly 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-best rate in football.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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