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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
  • Gardner Minshew's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 58.0% to 63.3%.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest clip in the league against the Tennessee Titans defense this year (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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