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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Gabriel Davis has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 79.7% of snaps compared to 90.4% last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Gabriel Davis's 54.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a significant decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 57.8% mark.
  • The Packers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.1%) to wideouts this year (61.1%).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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