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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Right now, the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Gabriel Davis has been on the field for 84.0% of his offense's snaps this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Gabriel Davis's 50.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 57.8% rate.

The Bears pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.5%).

The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 3rd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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