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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • With an elite 85.5% Snap% (92nd percentile) this year, Gabriel Davis stands among the RBs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Colts pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74%) to wideouts this year (74.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Gabriel Davis's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 57.8% to 44.7%.

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