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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Gabriel Davis has run a route on 88.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Gabriel Davis's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 57.8% to 53.2%.

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

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