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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a top-tier 89.5% Route Participation Rate (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Gabriel Davis stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (54.0%).
  • The Browns safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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