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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Gabriel Davis's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 53.0% to 58.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Gabriel Davis's 40.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 49.8.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.1%) versus WRs this year (62.1%).

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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