My Account Log Out
 
Gabriel Davis
NFL · Player Props
Gabriel Davis
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receptions
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Gabriel Davis Receptions

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +136.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
  • Gabe Davis has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (49.3%).
Favors Under
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Gabe Davis's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.6% to 54.3%.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
More Gabriel Davis Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow