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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.

Gabriel Davis has been on the field for 81.5% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.

When it comes to air yards, Gabriel Davis ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among WRs this year, averaging an impressive 74.0 per game.

The Jacksonville offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) to wide receivers this year (68.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Gabriel Davis's 54.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 57.8% rate.

Gabriel Davis's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 9.8 figure.

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