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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Gabriel Davis has been on the field for 84.0% of his offense's snaps this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Gabriel Davis has accrued far fewer air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).
  • Gabriel Davis's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 48.0 rate.
  • Gabriel Davis's 50.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 57.8% rate.
  • Gabriel Davis's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, accumulating just 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.79 mark last season.
  • Gabriel Davis's 2.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a substantial reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.9% figure.

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