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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Jaguars, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may slide.

Gabriel Davis has run a route on 89.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The model projects Gabriel Davis to accumulate 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projections to run just 60.4 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Bills pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a mere 3.3 YAC.

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