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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

With a top-tier 89.5% Route Participation Rate (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Gabriel Davis stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Gabriel Davis ranks in the lofty 80th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 71.0 per game.

With an exceptional 10.2 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Gabriel Davis places as one of the best WRs in the league in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) since the start of last season.

The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (54.0%).

Since the start of last season, the stout Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a paltry 6.9 yards.

The Browns safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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