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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Mac Jones.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are heavy underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Jaguars to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

After accruing 73.0 air yards per game last year, Gabriel Davis has fallen off this year, currently pacing 68.0 per game.

Gabriel Davis's 35.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a material drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 48.0 rate.

Gabriel Davis's 51.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 57.8% rate.

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

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