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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones.

A passing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.

Gabriel Davis's 79.7% snap rate this year reflects a substantial regression in his offensive workload over last year's 90.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.1 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Gabriel Davis has posted quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).

Gabriel Davis has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

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