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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jaguars last year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

Gabriel Davis has run a route on 89.5% of his team's dropbacks last year, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.

As it relates to air yards, Gabriel Davis grades out in the towering 81st percentile among WRs last year, totaling a colossal 73.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Gabriel Davis checks in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 57.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 9th-fewest in football.

The Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league last year in defending receivers.

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