Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (67.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bills.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Gabriel Davis's 66.6% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a meaningful boost in his receiving talent over last year's 53.0% mark.
Gabriel Davis's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, totaling 11.04 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.47 mark last year.

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
After accruing 95.0 air yards per game last season, Gabriel Davis has produced significantly fewer this season, currently pacing 73.0 per game.
Gabriel Davis's 38.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 49.8.

More Gabriel Davis Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow