Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
Gabriel Davis has run a route on 87.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Gabriel Davis has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).
Gabriel Davis's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 53.0% to 68.6%.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
After totaling 95.0 air yards per game last year, Gabriel Davis has significantly declined this year, currently boasting 86.0 per game.

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