Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Gabriel Davis has run a route on 94.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Gabriel Davis has totaled a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among WRs.
Gabriel Davis has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 53.0 yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
Gabriel Davis's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 53.0% to 70.7%.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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