Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 69.2% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.
Gabriel Davis has run a route on 102.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
Gabriel Davis has put up a colossal 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among wideouts.
Gabriel Davis has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 53.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Gabriel Davis has been among the worst possession receivers in football, catching a measly 53.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 2nd percentile among WRs

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