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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Gabriel Davis grades out as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 53.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Gabriel Davis's 59.3% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 53.0% rate.

Gabriel Davis's 10.1 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.5 rate.

This year, the anemic Patriots pass defense has given up a massive 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.62 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Gabriel Davis has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).

Gabriel Davis's 42.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 49.8.

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

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