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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Gabriel Davis's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 53.0% to 58.6%.

Gabriel Davis's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a meaningful growth in his receiving ability over last season's 8.5 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Gabriel Davis has accrued far fewer air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

Gabriel Davis's 40.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 49.8.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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