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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • Gabriel Davis's 61.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 53.0% mark.
  • Gabriel Davis's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 8.47 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Gabriel Davis has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
  • Gabriel Davis's 39.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 49.8.
  • This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 2.9 YAC.

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