Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.
Gabriel Davis's 61.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 53.0% mark.
Gabriel Davis's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 8.47 rate last year.

Favors Under

In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
Gabriel Davis has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
Gabriel Davis's 39.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 49.8.
This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 2.9 YAC.

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