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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.9% pass rate.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • Gabriel Davis's 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 53.0% rate.
  • Gabriel Davis's 9.7 adjusted yards per target this season shows a material growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 8.5 rate.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (75%) versus wide receivers this year (75.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Gabriel Davis has posted quite a few less air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

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