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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Gabe Davis has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.5%).
  • Gabe Davis has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Gabe Davis's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.0% to 53.1%.

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