Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 7:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Gabe Davis has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.5%).
Gabe Davis has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Gabe Davis's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.0% to 53.1%.

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