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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Gabe Davis has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (95.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (49.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Gabe Davis's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.6% to 51.5%.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.

The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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