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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Gabriel Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-260).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.3 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's game.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

Gabe Davis has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

Gabe Davis grades out in the 88th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.39 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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