Gabriel Davis Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving TD

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.35 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Gabe Davis to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (16.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.5% in games he has played).
Gabe Davis has accrued many more air yards this year (96.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).
Gabe Davis's 46.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 28.5.

Favors Under

The Bills are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Gabe Davis's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.6% to 55.7%.
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (62.4%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.4%).
The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.55 per game this year.
The New England Patriots cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More Gabriel Davis Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow