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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+144/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 138.8 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

This week, Foster Moreau is anticipated by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.0 targets.

Foster Moreau's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 9.6.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Foster Moreau's 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 83.2% figure.

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