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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Foster Moreau has run fewer routes this season (42.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (26.4%).

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cleveland's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 10th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Foster Moreau's 74.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 83.2% figure.

The Browns pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.8%) vs. TEs this year (61.8%).

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