Foster Moreau Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau has run fewer routes this year (77.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (45.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to notch 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Foster Moreau has been among the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a terrific 2.8 receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Foster Moreau has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, catching a mere 65.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.8%) vs. tight ends this year (68.8%).

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