Foster Moreau Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to earn 5.8 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Foster Moreau's 22.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 15.7.
Foster Moreau's receiving performance has been refined this season, notching 3.4 yards per game vs a mere 2.3 last season.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.