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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

While Foster Moreau has accounted for 7.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's passing attack in this game at 13.0%.

Foster Moreau has accumulated many more air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).

Foster Moreau's pass-game efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 8.66 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.65 mark last year.

This year, the porous New York Giants pass defense has conceded a whopping 93.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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