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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Foster Moreau has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (44.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (26.4%).

Foster Moreau has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (8.0 per game).

Foster Moreau's 10.2 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a material improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.7 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.7% pass rate.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.5 per game) this year.

The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Foster Moreau's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 83.2% to 74.5%.

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