Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
Foster Moreau's 91.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a material gain in his receiving talent over last season's 68.3% figure.

Favors Under

Foster Moreau's 4.9% Target Rate this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his pass attack utilization over last season's 10.3% mark.
After totaling 27.0 air yards per game last season, Foster Moreau has seen a big decrease this season, currently pacing 10.0 per game.
As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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