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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to total 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be much more involved in his team's passing attack this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.4% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 27.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (56%) versus tight ends this year (56.0%).
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 5.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the league.

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