Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.
Foster Moreau has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.60 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 86th percentile.
Foster Moreau has been among the top TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 40.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (66.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (66.1%).