Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau has been less involved as a potential target this year (77.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to accrue 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
Foster Moreau has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.9%) vs. tight ends this year (61.9%).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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