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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+296/-522).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +325 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +296.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (11.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).

Foster Moreau's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 68.4% to 85.2%.

The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.

The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus TEs this year (63.1%).

The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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